4,5%, Prediksi BI terhadap Inflasi 2014
Bank Indonesia Expected Annual Inflation Rate to Reach 4.5 Percent in 2014
Reporter : Gatot Priyantono
Editor : Cahyani Harzi
Translator : Dhelia Gani
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Jakarta (B2B) - Bank Indonesia memprediksi inflasi tahun ini sekitar 4,5%, karena beberapa faktor, di antaranya tekanan kebijakan strategis dari pemerintah, pasokan bahan pangan, dan ekspektasi inflasi terkendali.
"Prediksi besarnya inflasi itu masih tetap lebih rendah dibandingkan nasional yang diprediksikan berada di angka 4,9 persen," kata Deputi Gubernur BI, Marlison Hakim kepada pers di Semarang, Senin.
Menurut dia kebijakan strategis pemerintah, misalnya kenaikan Tarif Dasar Listrik, dan harga elpiji 12 kg namun demikian kondisi tersebut diharapkan tetap mengendalikan ekspektasi inflasi.
Resiko lain yang harus disikapi pemerintah, di antaranya memundurkan masa panen beras di daerah bencana dan ancaman badai el nino terhadap hasil pertanian.
"Selain itu untuk kenaikan elpiji 12 kg yang direncanakan mulai 1 Juli mendatang yaitu dari Rp 1.000/kg menjadi Rp 6.944/kg juga bisa berakibat pada besaran inflasi," jelasnya.
Menurutnya kenaikan tersebut diperkirakan meningkatkan inflasi bulanan sebesar 0,1-0,3 persen, selain itu bersamaan dengan periode Idul Fitri akan mempengaruhi preferensi atas elpiji 3 kg.
Jakarta (B2B) - Indonesia's annual inflation rate is expected to reach 4.5 percent this year, fueled by the governments strategic policies, food supplies, and manageable inflation, according to Bank Indonesia (BI).
"The inflation prediction remains lower than the national forecast of 4.9 percent," BI Deputy Governor, Marlison Hakim noted here on Monday.
The strategic policies include the Indonesian governments decisions to hike electric power tariffs and the price of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) in the 12-kg cylinder category, yet the inflation rate is expected to remain at a manageable level, he stated.
The delayed harvest period in disaster-struck areas and the threat of the El Nino weather phenomenon may also have an impact on farm production, he pointed out.
"The planned increase in the price of LPG in the 12-kg cylinder category to Rp6,944/kg from Rp one thousand/kg, which will come into effect from July 1, may also affect the inflation rate," he stressed.
The increase in the price of LPG in the 12-kg cylinder category in July 2014, which coincides with the holy fasting month of Ramadhan, may raise the monthly inflation rate to 0.1-0.3 percent, he explained.
He remarked that a team of regional inflation controllers (TPID) will soon monitor food supplies in the lead up to the Idul Fitri festivities and check the likelihood of irresponsible parties hoarding fuel and LPG.
