BI Perkirakan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi 2014 Bias ke Batas Bawah
Agus Martowardojo Predict Stronger Economic Growth in 2014
Reporter : Rizki Saleh
Editor : Ismail Gani
Translator : Novita Cahyadi
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Jakarta (B2B) - Pertumbuhan ekonomi 2014 akan cenderung bias ke batas bawah perkiraan Bank Indonesia (BI) sebelumnya 5,8--6,2 persen seiring dengan perbaikan ekonomi global. Pasalnya, perekonomian Indonesia 2013 menghadapi tantangan yang tidak ringan akibat dampak perlambatan pertumbuhan ekonomi global.
"Tahun ini, pertumbuhan ekonomi diperkirakan akan lebih baik, mendekati batas bawah kisaran 5,8--6,2 persen sejalan perbaikan ekonomi global di tengah berlanjutnya proses konsolidasi ekonomi domestik mengarah ke kondisi yang lebih seimbang," kata Gubernur BI Agus Martowardojo kepada pers di Jakarta, Kamis (9/1).
Dia menambahkan, perekonomian negara-negara maju melambat dan diikuti koreksi pertumbuhan ekonomi negara-negara emerging markets.
Pertumbuhan ekonomi global yang melambat pada gilirannya mendorong menurunnya harga komoditas dunia.
Selain itu, ketidakpastian keuangan global juga meningkat tajam sejalan dengan sentimen negatif terhadap rencana pengurangan stimulus moneter (tapering off) di AS.
Perkembangan terkini menunjukkan membaiknya kondisi ekonomi global dimotori oleh AS dan Jepang, serta indikasi pemulihan ekonomi di kawasan Eropa, China dan India.
"Perbaikan ini diperkirakan dapat berlanjut pada tahun 2014 sehingga dapat menopang ekonomi Indonesia ke depan, baik dari jalur perdagangan maupun jalur finansial," kata Agus.
Namun Agus mengatakan, pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia yang diperkirakan bias ke bawah tidak berarti akan mengalami penurunan. Ia melihat pertumbuhan ekonomi di kisaran enam persen masih bisa dicapai.
"Bias ke bawah bukan berarti tidak bisa kembali ke kisaran enam persen, masih bisa kembali ke mid target," ujar Agus.
Agus menambahkan, ekonomi global yang menurun dan keperluan untuk stabilisasi perekonomian nasional memang akan berpengaruh pada pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia.
Perekonomian Indonesia tahun 2013 diprakirakan tumbuh sebesar 5,7 persen, melambat bila dibandingkan dengan pertumbuhan tahun 2012 sebesar 6,2 persen. Penurunan pertumbuhan ekonomi 2013 tercatat pada terbatasnya pertumbuhan ekspor riil akibat melambatnya ekonomi global.
Jakarta (B2B) - Bank Indonesia Governor Agus Martowardojo said the country is expected to chalk up a stronger economic growth in 2014 to follow the global trend. Countrys economic growth would be close to 5.8 percent in 2014 with expected improvement in the global economy and consolidation of the domestic economy toward greater balance.
"In 2014, the economic growth is expected to come close to the lower limit of Bank Indonesias earlier target of 5.8-6.2 percent," he said here on Thursday.
In 2013, the countrys economy was estimated to grow 5.7 percent, slowing down from a growth of 6.2 percent in the previous year, he said.
He said in 2013, the countrys economy was confronted with heavy challenges as a result of the global economic slowdown.
Advanced economies were beset by crisis and the emerging markets including Indonesia suffered the impact, he said, pointing out the commodity prices fell.
In addition, uncertainties in the global financial condition was worse with the negative sentiment brought about by the Feds plan to trim its massive financial stimulus.
The latest development showed improvement in the global economic condition led by the United States and Japan, and indications of recovery in Europe, China and India, Agus noted.
"The improving trend could continue through 2014 to sustain the Indonesian economy in trade and financial sectors," he said.
The countrys economic growth which is biased toward the lower limit of the 5.8-6.2 percent range does not mean ruling out a reverse to the 6 percent range," he said.
He attributed the lower growth record in 2013 to poorer performance in exports and investment leaving the household consumption the only driver of growth.
He said the countrys economic slowdown in 2013 was in line with the stabilization policy of the government and Bank Indonesia to lead the economy toward a healthier more balanced condition.
"All in all, a measured stabilization policy could be offset with economic growth in 2013, which was relatively high compared with economic growth recorded by other countries," he said.
